Oh Lord, already I am completely sucking at my predictions. Oh well. Here's how it's shaking down. I'll put an O for Oscar on the ones that won. So far I am O for like 5,000.
I thought I had a fighting chance of actually beating the potentially-unbeatable-and-oh-so-smug-about it Diana in the annual Oscar ballot smack-down this year. But when I sat down to fill the ballot out, it was really hard to separate my thoughts of what *will* happen from my predictions of what *should* happen. And then there is always the fun of defying the pundits and going for the longshot (echoes of the current political situation, anyone?).
Anyway, lest I try to deny my predictions in the future, here they are for posterity (and if I'm right in the end, I will have a glorious record of it here!)
I can't wait for tomorrow night.
80th Annual Academy Awards
Sunday, February 24, 2007
Prediction Ballot
Name: Maile____________ Total Points: __52_____/100
OK, MY PERFORMANCE WAS PRETTY BAD OVERALL BUT I'M NOT ASHAMED TO PUT IT UP HERE. WORTHY WINNERS ALL.
10 Points: ___10_____
Best Motion Picture of the Year
“Atonement” (Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner and Paul Webster)
“Michael Clayton” (Sydney Pollack, Jennifer Fox and Kerry Orent)
X “No Country for Old Men” (Scott Rudin, Ethan Coen and Joel Coen)
“There Will Be Blood” (JoAnne Sellar, Paul Thomas Anderson and Daniel Lupi)
“Juno” (Lianne Halfon, Mason Novick and Russell Smith)
8 Points: ____0____
Achievement in Directing
Julian Schnabel for “The Diving Bell and the Butterfly”
Jason Reitman for “Juno”
Tony Gilroy for “Michael Clayton”
O Joel & Ethan Coen for “No Country for Old Men” DANG I THOUGHT I HAD THIS IN THE BAG. WELL THIS IS ONE OF THE MOST KICKASS FILMS OF ALL TIME SO WELL PLAYED, COHEN BOYS.
X Paul Thomas Anderson for “There Will Be Blood”
8 Points: ___8_____
Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
George Clooney for “Michael Clayton”
XO Daniel Day-Lewis for “There Will Be Blood”
Johnny Depp for “Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street”
Tommy Lee Jones for “In the Valley of Elah”
Viggo Mortensen for “Eastern Promises”
8 Points: ____0____
Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Cate Blanchett for “Elizabeth: The Golden Age”
X Julie Christie for “Away from Her”
O Marion Cotillard for “La Vie en Rose” THE MOST CHARMING ACCEPTANCE SPEECH EVER! FELICITATIONS MA BELLE!!
Ellen Page for “Juno”
Laura Linney for “The Savages”
8 Points: ___0_____
Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Casey Affleck for “The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford”
O Javier Bardem for “No Country for Old Men” VERY MUCH DESERVED. A SUPERLATIVE VILLAIN.
Philip Seymour Hoffman for “Charlie Wilson’s War”
Hal Holbrook for “Into the Wild”
X Tom Wilkinson for “Michael Clayton”
8 Points: ___0_____
Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
X Cate Blanchett for “I’m Not There”
Ruby Dee for “American Gangster”
Saoirse Ronan for “Atonement”
Amy Ryan for “Gone, Baby, Gone”
O Tilda Swinton for “Michael Clayton” ONE OF THE BEST ACCEPTANCE SPEECHES EVER. TOTALLY WORTH LOSING 8 POINTS OVER. I KNEW CATE WASN'T GOING TO WIN BUT I JUST WANTED TO ACKNOWLEDGE HER AWESOMENESS BY VOTING FOR HER.
7 Points: __7______
Best Foreign Language Film of the Year
XO Director Stefan Ruzowitzky for “Counterfeiters” (Australia)OMG I ACTUALLY GOT SOMETHING RIGHT THAT WAS WORTH MORE THAN 2 POINTS.
Director Joseph Cedar for “Beaufort” (Israel)
Director Andrzej Wajda for “Katyn” (Poland)
Director Sergei Bodrov for “Mongol” (Kazakhstan)
Director Sergei Bodrov for “12” (Russia)
7 Points: ___7_____
Best Documentary Feature
“No End in Sight” (Charles Ferguson and Audrey Mars)
“Operation Homecoming: Writing the Wartime Experience” (Richard E. Robbins)
“Sicko” (Michael Moore and Meghan O'Hara)
XO “Taxi to the Dark Side” (Alex Gibney and Eva Orner)ANNE'S COUSIN'S MOVIE! THANKS FOR GETTING ME 7 POINTS ANNE!
“War/Dance” (Andrea Nix Fine and Sean Fine)
5 Points: ___5_____
Best Original Screenplay
XO Diablo Cody for “Juno”
Nancy Oliver for “Lars and the Real Girl”
Tony Gilroy for “Michael Clayton”
Jan Pinkava, Jim Capobianco and Brad Bird for “Ratatouille”
Tamara Jenkins for “The Savages”
5 Points: __0______
Best Adapted Screenplay
Christopher Hampton for “Atonement”
Sarah Polley for “Away from Her”
X Ronald Harwood for “The Diving Bell and the Butterfly”
O Joel Coen and Ethan Coen for “No Country for Old Men”
Paul Thomas Anderson for “There Will Be Blood”
5 Points: __5______
Achievement in Music Written for a Motion Picture (Original Score)
XO “Atonement” (Dario Marianelli)
“The Kite Runner” (Alberto Iglesias)
“Michael Clayton” (James Newton Howard)
“Ratatouille” (Michael Giacchino)
“3:10 to Yuma” (Marco Beltramil)
3 Points: ___0_____
Achievement in Cinematography
“The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford” (Roger Deakins)
X “Atonement” (Seamus McGarvey)
“The Diving Bell and the Butterfly” (Janusz Kaminski)
“No Country for Old Men” (Roger Deakins)
O “There Will Be Blood” (Robert Elswit)
3 Points: __3_____
Best Animated Feature Film of the Year
“Persepolis” (Marjane Satrapi and Vincent Paronnaud)
XO “Ratatouille” (Brad Bird)
“Surf’s Up” (Ash Brannon and Chris Buck)
3 Points: __3______
Achievement in Music Written for a Motion Picture (Original Song)
XO “Falling Slowly” - “Once” (Music and Lyric by Glen Hansard and Marketa Irglova)YESYESYESYESYES! MAKE ART.
“Happy Working Song” – “Enchanted” (Music by Alan Menken; Lyric by Stephen Schwartz)
“Raise it Up” – “August Rush” (Music and Lyric by Jamal Joseph, Charles Mack and Tevin Thomas)
“So Close” – “Enchanted” (Music by Alan Menken; Lyric by Stephen Schwartz)
“That’s How You Know” – “Enchanted” (Music by Alan Menken; Lyric by Stephen Schwartz)
3 Points: ___0_____
Achievement in Art Direction
“American Gangster” [Arthur Max (Art Direction); Beth A. Rubino (Set Decoration)]
“Atonement” [Sarah Greenwood (Art Direction); Katie Spencer (Set Decoration)]
“The Golden Compass” [Dennis Gassner (Art Direction); Anna Pinnock (Set Decoration)]
O “Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street” [Dante Ferretti (Art Direction); Francesca Lo Schiavo (Set Decoration)]
X “There Will Be Blood” [Jack Fisk (Art Direction); Jim Erickson (Set Decoration)]
2 Points: ___0_____
Achievement in Visual Effects
O “The Golden Compass” (Michael Fink, Bill Westenhofer, Ben Morris and Trevor Wood)
“Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End” (John Knoll, Hal Hickel, Charles Gibson and John Frazier)
X “Transformers” (Scott Farrar, Scott Benza, Russell Earl and John Frazier)
2 Points: ___2_____
Achievement in Makeup
OX “La Vie en Rose” (Didier Lavergne and Jan Archibald) FINALLY I PICK A WINNER! ONLY WORTH TWO POINTS, BUT I'LL TAKE THEM
“Norbit” (Rick Baker and Kazuhiro Tsuji)
“Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End” (Ve Neill and Martin Samuel)
1 Point:¬¬¬¬___1______
Best Documentary Short Subject
XO “Freeheld” (Cynthia Wade and Vanessa Roth)WOMEN DIRECTORS OH SNAP!! PLUS I SAW FIONA OTWAY, SEATTLE FILMMAKER, FRIEND OF REEL GRRLS AND TOTAL BADASS IN THE BACKGROUND!!!
“La Corona (The Crown)” (Amanda Micheli and Isabel Vega)
“Salim Baba” (Tim Sternberg and Francisco Bello)
“Sari’s Mother” (James Longley)
1 Point:¬¬¬¬___0______
Best Live Action Short Film of the Year
“At Night” (Christian E. Christiansen and Louise Vesth)
“Il Supplente (The Substitute)” (Andrea Jublin)
O “Le Mozart des Pickpockets” (Philippe Pollet-Villard)
X “Tanghi Argentini” (Guido Thys and Anja Daelemans)
“The Tonto Woman” (Daniel Barber and Matthew Brown)
1 Point:¬¬¬¬__0_______
Best Animated Short Film of the Year
“I Met the Walrus” (Josh Raskin)
X “Madame Tutli-Putli” Chris Lavis and Maciek Szczerbowski: people you must see this film! It is completely amazing.
“Meme les Pigeons vont au Paradis (Even Pigeons go to Heaven)” Samuel Tourneux and Simon Vanesse
“My Love (Moya Lyubov)” Alexander Petrov
O “Peter & the Wolf” Suzie Templeton and Hugh Welchman
1 Point:¬¬¬¬___1______
Achievement in Film Editing
X0 “The Bourne Ultimatum” (Christopher Rouse)WOOT! ONE POINT FOR ME!!
“The Diving Bell and the Butterfly” (Juliette Welfling)
“Into the Wild” (Jay Cassidy)
“No Country for Old Men” (Roderick James)
“There Will Be Blood” (Dylan Tichenor)
1 Point:¬¬¬¬___0______
Achievement in Sound Editing
O “The Bourne Ultimatum” (Karen Baker Landers and Per Hallberg)
X “No Country for Old Men” (Skip Lievsay)
“Ratatouille” (Randy Thom and Michael Silver)
“There Will Be Blood” (Christopher Scarabosio and Matthew Wood)
“Transformers” (Ethan Van der Ryn and Mike Hopkins)
Bonus: 2007 Razzie Awards!!
Worst Motion Picture of the Year
Bratz
Daddy Day Camp
I Know Who Killed Me
I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry
X Norbit
Worst Actor in a Motion Picture
Nicolas Cage in “Ghost Rider”, “National Treasure: Book of Secrets” and “Next”
Jim Carrey in “The Number 23”
Cuba Gooding, Jr. in “Daddy Day Camp” and “Norbit”
Eddie Murphy in “Norbit”
X Adam Sandler in “I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry”
Worst Actress in a Motion Picture
Jessica Alba in “Awake”, “Fantastic Four” and “Good Luck Chuck”
X The entire cast of “Bratz”
Elisha Cuthbert in “Captivity”
Diane Keaton in “Because I Said So”
Lindsey Lohan in “I Know Who Killed Me”
Worst Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture
Orlando Bloom in “Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End”
Kevin James in “I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry”
Eddie Murphy in “Norbit”
X Rob Schneider in “I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry”
Jon Voight in “National Treasure”, “September Dawn” and “Transformers”
Worst Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture
X Jessica Biel in “I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry”
Carmen Elektra in “Epic Movie”
Eddie Murphy in “Norbit”
Julia Ormond in “I Know Who Killed Me”
Nicolette Sheridan in “Code Name: The Cleaner”
Worst Screen Couple
Jessica Alba & either Hayden Christensen in “Awake”, Dane Cook in “Good Luck Chuck” or Loan Gruffudd in “Fantastic Four”
Any Combination of Two Totally Air-Headed Characters in “Bratz”
Lindsey Lohan & Lindsay Lohan in “I Know Who Killed Me”
X Eddie Murphy (as Norbit) & either Eddie Murphy (as Mr. Wong) or Eddie Murphy (as Rasputia) in “Norbit”
Adam Sandler & either Kevin James or Jessica Biel in “I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry”
Worst Remake or Rip-off
“Are We Done Yet” (Remake of “Mr. Blandings Builds His Dream House”
“Bratz” (A rip-off if there ever was one”
“Epic Movie” (Rip-off of every movie it rips off)
“I Know Who Killed Me” (Rip-off of “Hostel”, “Saw” and “The Patty Duke Show”
X “Who’s Your Caddy?” (Rip-off of “Caddy Shack”)
Worst Prequel or Sequel
“Aliens vs. Predator: Requiem”
“Daddy Day Camp”
X “Evan Almighty”
“Hannibal Rising”
“Hostel: Part II”
Worst Director
X Dennis Dugan for “I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry”
Roland Joffe for “Captivity”
Brian Robbins for “Norbit”
Fred Savage for “Daddy Day Camp”
Chris Siverston for “I Know Who Killed Me”
Worst Excuse for a Horror Movie
“Aliens vs. Predator: Requiem”
“Captivity”
“Hannibal Rising”
“Hostel: Part II”
X “I Know Who Killed Me”